What happens if patriots win tonight

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What They're Saying: Cleveland Browns. Mike Dussault Patriots. Pats twice in December 5. Pats Week Key AFC Takeaways. With the easiest remaining schedule in the league, the Bills are 97 percent locks to repeat as AFC East champions and should secure one of the top four seeds, along with the Titans. Despite losing Derrick Henry, they'll have an easy time facing Houston twice, Jacksonville and Miami to make up nearly half of their remaining schedule. The Bills and Titans seem like the only two teams anywhere close to sure things when it comes to playing at least one home playoff game.

The Ravens aren't too far behind, but as part of the AFC North, they'll play one of the most competitive schedules down the stretch. Pittsburgh still has single games against the Browns and Bengals, and both games against the Ravens remaining. The Ravens have played just one divisional game in the most competitive division in the NFL.

With all four North teams still very much in the playoff mix, the outcome of their interdivisional games will likely have the biggest impact on how the AFC plays out. So the way you rush the quarterback changes with Jarrett Stidham. The overall defensive approach for the Bills would change, so my guess is coach McDermott has them preparing for both. Newton has not provided much of a passing presence in New England's lineup.

In 13 games this season, the veteran quarterback has produced just five touchdown passes against 10 interceptions, with three of those touchdown tosses coming in his last six appearances. For a long time sticking the ball in the end zone was the least of New England's problems. With Tom Brady as the trigger man and a smooth-running machine of an offense orchestrated by offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, the Patriots ranked in the top five in point differential per game in each of the last four seasons 1st, T-1st, 5th, 2nd.

This season they rank 18th in point differential per game with a mark of minus one. If the Patriots finish with a negative point differential average this season, it will mark the first year that's happened since the season when they were a minus 3.

New England has not ranked lower than fifth in the league in point differential per game since when they were eighth. They've ranked in the top five in 10 of the last 11 seasons in this category. Likely to make execution even tougher for New England's offense is the improved play of Buffalo's defense since their last meeting. They surrendered 21 points to the Patriots in their first meeting but have allowed fewer than 20 in three of their last four outings.

Meanwhile New England has scored less than 15 in their last two games. The Bills third-down defense over their last three games has been dramatically better than their first 10 games. Since the bye, Leslie Frazier's group has dropped opponents' third-down conversion rate by more than 15 percent Buffalo has been especially opportunistic when they rush just their front four in passing situations. They rank second in the league with 11 interceptions and it's due in part to their pressure rate of The Bills blitz scheme has also yielded better results of late.

Since Week 10 Buffalo has reduced opponent's completion percentage to less than 50 percent Even more encouraging is Newton has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL this season against the blitz with a passer rating of In the first meeting between the Bills and Patriots, New England decided to play a good deal of man coverage, something their secondary executes quite effectively.

The Pats play man coverage It's one of the reasons the Pats defense ranks sixth in the league in opponent passer rating Back in Week 8, their coverage was effective enough in convincing the Bills to run the ball more than they passed it, one of only two games for Buffalo this season where that occurred.

Fortunately for the Bills they averaged five yards per carry and rolled up yards on the ground. He'll try to make Josh work through his progressions. The last time they played the Patriots they played a ton of man coverage. That could be one thing that changes this time. They may not play as much man. I still believe that Belichick would prefer for Josh Allen to hand the ball off.

The reason that is even more likely to be the case is because Allen is a much-improved quarterback when facing man coverage, even since Week 8. Thus far this season, Buffalo's QB has a Allen has completed almost 68 percent of his passes against man coverage with 13 touchdowns against a single interception while averaging 8.

Obviously, he'd want to stop them, but it's still better dealing with them than having Josh pushing the ball down the field for yard plus completions.